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The ceasefire in Lebanon was a strategic victory for Israel

The ceasefire in Lebanon was a strategic victory for Israel

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The ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, which took effect Wednesday morning, is a major strategic victory for the Jewish state.

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Two weeks before Israeli forces invaded Lebanon on Oct. 1 — in response to almost daily rocket fire by Hezbollah that began a year earlier — Israel’s war cabinet made a “safe return of northerners to their homes.” the official goal of the war.

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If ceasefire agreement through the mediation of the United States and France, in the coming weeks and months, this goal will be achieved.

But the scale of Israel’s strategic victory goes far beyond the promise of a return to normalcy in northern Israel—it means the defeat of Hezbollah at the hands of Jerusalem’s wily military and intelligence apparatus.

In the run-up to the invasion, Hezbollah terrorists used thousands of pagers detonatedin a carefully planned and coordinated attack that took years for Israeli intelligence agencies to develop. Hundreds of Hezbollah radios also exploded the next day.

In one fell swoop, Israel managed to kill dozens and injure thousands of terrorists, leaving the jihadist organization in chaos as Israeli forces prepared for a full-scale attack on Hezbollah’s infrastructure.

In the weeks that followed, the Israel Defense Forces systematically destroyed Hezbollah’s weapons caches, dismantled a network of tunnels, and removed many of them. senior commanders and officials, including the group’s longtime leader Hassan Nasrallah.

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According to Hezbollah, the same amount 4000 terrorists maybe killed IDF believes it has been destroyed more than “80 percent of Hezbollah’s missile arsenal within a radius of up to 40 kilometers.” And the Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu boasted that Israel “set it back decades.”

True, this diplomatic breakthrough did not happen out of nowhere. Months of US-led diplomacy aimed at ending Hezbollah’s relentless attacks on Israel failed until the terrorist group was weakened enough that it had no choice but to crawl back across the Litani River by its tail.

In the process, Jerusalem restored its reputation as a formidable military force with sophisticated intelligence-gathering capabilities after a major blow following the surprise massacre by Hamas on October 7, and Iran lost its main deterrent to Israel.

Easing tensions on its northern border would also help ease pressure on the IDF, which has been waging a war on multiple fronts for more than a year, and allow Israel’s military and political leaders to focus on ending the war in Gaza and their broader fight against Tehran.

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The cease-fire agreement, however, carries considerable risk, and many questions remain about how effective it will be, so Israeli society, including displaced persons midnight, there is so bitterly divided above him

First, the new agreement is nothing more than a renewed commitment to the UN Security Council Resolution 1701which ended the 2006 Lebanon War but failed to prevent Hezbollah from deploying weapons and fighters in southern Lebanon. It also relies solely on the Lebanese army, which is much weaker than Hezbollah, and its government, which includes Hezbollah’s political wing to enforce the deal.

But it comes with a commitment by the United States and France to work within Lebanon’s Military Technical Committee to help the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) “achieve this increased level of deployment in Lebanon and improve its capabilities.” The Americans and French will also work in an expanded “tripartite mechanism” to “monitor, verify and help enforce” the deal.

Together, the two bodies will work to “strengthen the capacity and training of the LAF to inspect and dismantle unauthorized facilities and infrastructure, above and below ground, confiscate unauthorized weapons and prevent the presence of unauthorized armed groups.”

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How effective this will be remains to be seen. It would be optimal for Hezbollah to disband its military wing and hand over its weapons to the state, but the leadership of the terrorist group swore to continue their “resistance” to Israel. As such, the notoriously weak and financially insecure Lebanese government will oversee the “disarmament of all armed groups in Lebanon,” as required by Resolution 1701.

US President Joe Biden has already said America will not deploy troops to Lebanon, and questions remain about how much the new Trump administration will seek to aid the LAF.

The risk is that if the Lebanese military cannot or cannot be trusted to disarm Hezbollah, and the international community cannot properly enforce the agreement, as it has done for nearly two decades, the terror group will simply use this as an opportunity to rebuild and rearm, and put himself in a position to threaten the security of Israel in the future.

To prevent this from happening, the international community must play an active role in supporting Lebanon, holding it accountable, and preventing Iran from funding and arming its terrorists. This is a burden that cannot be placed on Israel alone if there is to be any hope of lasting peace, because we know that Israelis will no longer tolerate genocidal terrorist organizations located along their borders.

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